Public opinion on amnesty for combatants (the first round of survey data)
Partial amnesty for combatants. The overwhelming majority of respondents do not
support the idea of a full amnesty for
all aggrieved parties - that is, a position where everyone is forgiven.
Just 11.8% of respondents are strongly agree
with the position of full amnesty, 16.2%
somewhat agree, 30.8% somewhat
disagree, 36.1% strongly disagree, 5.2% of respondents are undecided.
The option of the
amnesty only for those who participated
in illegal military formations in uncontrolled territories and did not commit
serious crimes, for example, the killing of civilians, kidnapping, rape,
enjoys more support.
25.8% of the respondents strongly agree, 33.4% somewhat agree, 14.2% somewhat disagree, and 23.1% strongly disagree with this
option, 3,5% of respondents are
undecided.
The
position not to grant an amnesty is also popular. In response to the position “No amnesty - everyone should be held
accountable in accordance with the law”, the following results were
obtained: 35.7% agree with this
option, 23.8% somewhat agree, 20.7% somewhat disagree, 15.8% strongly disagree with it, 4% of respondents are undecided.
The question of who should decide on granting or
refusing an amnesty to a certain person revealed a somewhat low level of confidence in
Ukrainian judges. Only 11.3% believe
that the decisions on amnesty should be taken by the Ukrainian judges. 28.1% believe that it should be decided
by the representatives of international organizations or judges from abroad
with a good reputation, 28.7% are
for the groups that include both Ukrainian and foreign judges, 27.5% opt the groups of local residents
who are aware of the situation during the conflict.
Only 5.5% of the respondents are strongly
sure that the amnesty can be granted honestly and without abuse, 18.8% are strongly sure that the
amnesty can not be granted honestly and without abuse. Most of the respondents
were divided between these polar estimates with varying degrees of confidence
as to the possibility of honest amnesty.
Public opinion on
the possible lustration of civilian officials (the second round of survey data)
Loyalty to doctors, educators and utility
providers. The vast
majority of Ukrainians (from 75.5%
to 92.7%) and Donbas residents (from
79.5% to 92.4%) somewhat or strongly agree that both mid-level and
lower-level professionals in the temporarily occupied territories of Donbas,
working in the fields of health care, utilities, education and social care,
should be allowed to keep their jobs in case of Ukraine's restoring control
over these territories.
Three out of four
Ukrainians (73.5%) and a similar
share among the Donbas residents (75.0%)
agree that the doctors and health care
professionals should keep their jobs.
More than half of
the population of Ukraine (from 57.6%
to 60.5%) and two out of three
Donbas residents (64.8% -66.2%) do not object to the fact that the senior management in the field of
utilities, education and social care should keep their jobs.
68.6% of those polled strongly agree, 24.0% somewhat agree, 3.4% somewhat disagree, 2.4% strongly disagree and 1.6% are undecided with the idea that doctors, middle and lower
ranking health care specialists should be allowed to keep their jobs in case of
Ukraine's restoring control over these territories.
The attitude to
doctors and the senior management of health care is also quite loyal. 45.6% strongly agree, 28.0% somewhat agree, 12.4% somewhat disagree, 9.6% strongly disagree, another 4.5% are undecided with the idea that
they should be allowed to keep their jobs in case of Ukraine's restoring
control over these territories.
The idea of keeping jobs by the teachers, the
middle and lower ranking specialists in education has also a significant support of Ukrainians.
52.0% strongly agree with it, 26.1% somewhat agree, 9.7%
somewhat disagree, 9.1% strongly
disagree, 3.2% are undecided.
The attitudes
towards teachers and the senior
management of education are less loyal, but most respondents still support
the idea of keeping their jobs.
34.0% of those polled strongly agree with the idea, 24.7 % somewhat agree, 18.4 % somewhat disagree, 18.1% strongly disagree, 4.9% are undecided.
While running the
focus groups before sociological survey, the respondents also supported the
idea of keeping their workplaces by educators, but there were warnings as to
the people who could be involved in the ideological education of the pupils and
students.
The middle and lower ranking specialists in the
social care field are also “allowed” to keep their workplaces by the
respondents. 43.4% strongly agree, 32.1%
somewhat agree, 11.8% somewhat
disagree, 7.4% strongly disagree and
5.4% are undecided.
The idea of
keeping their workplaces by the senior
management of social care in case of Ukraine's restoring control over these
territories, has the following support: 29.1%
of those polled strongly agree, 28.5%
somewhat agree, 18.1% somewhat
disagree, 18.1% strongly disagree, 5.4 % are undecided.
45.6% of those polled strongly agree, 32.8% somewhat agree, 10.7% somewhat disagree, 7.6% strongly disagree, another 3.3% are undecided with the answer to
the similar idea as to the middle and lower ranking specialists in
utilities.
The idea of
keeping their workplaces by the senior
management of the utilities field in case of Ukraine's restoring control
over these territories, is strongly
agreed by 30.0%, 30.4% somewhat agree with it, 18.6% somewhat disagree, 17.6% strongly disagree, 3.4% are undecided.
Public opinion on
the possible lustration of the occupation administration representatives (the second round of survey data)
Disloyalty to the self-proclaimed authorities
representatives. With a
completely loyal attitude to health care, utilities and humanitarian fields,
the attitude of Ukrainians towards de facto authorities representatives in
temporarily occupied territories is diametrically opposed. Most respondents
disagree with the thesis that they should be allowed to keep their jobs in case
of Ukraine's restoring of control over the occupied territories. This applies
to those who work in both the senior and the middle/lower ranking of de facto
authorities. The majority of Ukrainians (77.4%
and 73.3%), as well as two thirds of
the Donbas residents (65.2% and 59.6%) do not agree that
representatives of the de facto occupation authorities, both the senior and the
middle/lower ranking respectively, could be allowed to keep their jobs in case
of Ukraine's restoring of control over these territories.
The idea that the middle and lower ranking specialists
of de facto authorities should be allowed to keep their jobs in case of
Ukraine's restoring of control over these territories is strongly agreed by 11.2%
of those polled, 9.8% somewhat
agree, 17.5% somewhat disagree, 55.8% strongly disagree, 5.8% are undecided.
The similar idea as to the senior specialists of de facto
authorities is strongly agreed by 9.1%
of those polled, 8.1% somewhat
agree, 15.6% somewhat disagree, 61.8% strongly disagree, 5.5% are undecided.
“Kalmius Group” is an informal association of Ukrainian analysts
whose goal is to promote the restoration of the country’s sovereignty in the
temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
“Kalmius Group” is an informal association of Ukrainian analysts whose goal is to promote the restoration of the country’s sovereignty in the temporarily occupied territories of Donetsk and Luhansk regions.
The “Kalmius Group” was established by Oleksandr Kluzhev, Mariia Zolkina, Oleksii Matsuka, Vitalii Syzov, Oleksandr Dmitriiev.
Motivation of our Group's activities is clear and transparent – to contribute effectively and professionally to the restoration of the territorial integrity of the country. The name of the coalition comes from the Kalmius River, which unites the free and temporarily occupied districts of the region and symbolizes the hope of citizens on both sides of the demarcation line to peace-making by stopping the interstate conflict and restoring the unity of Ukraine, the rule of law and order in the territories affected by the armed confrontation. This study was presented by the “Kalmius Group” initiative under “Ukraine Confidence Building Initiative” (UCBI ІІ) project, funded by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).
The study was made possible thanks to the generous support of the American people through USAID. The product content is the sole responsibility of the “Kalmius Group” and does not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the US Government.
Motivation of our Group's activities is clear and transparent – to contribute effectively and professionally to the restoration of the territorial integrity of the country. The name of the coalition comes from the Kalmius River, which unites the free and temporarily occupied districts of the region and symbolizes the hope of citizens on both sides of the demarcation line to peace-making by stopping the interstate conflict and restoring the unity of Ukraine, the rule of law and order in the territories affected by the armed confrontation. This study was presented by the “Kalmius Group” initiative under “Ukraine Confidence Building Initiative” (UCBI ІІ) project, funded by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).
The study was made possible thanks to the generous support of the American people through USAID. The product content is the sole responsibility of the “Kalmius Group” and does not necessarily reflect the views of USAID or the US Government.
_________________________________________________________________
The first round of the survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine on behalf of the Kalmius Group, a survey method - telephone interviews with mobile phone calls and random phone number generation, the survey period - from April 14 to May 2, 2018. The sample comprised 1975 respondents, 536 of them are from Donetsk and Luhansk regions (the territories, controlled by the Ukrainian government).
The second round of the survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine, with the use of the same survey method, from May 3 to May 19 , 2018. The sample comprised 1980 respondents, 528 of them are from Donetsk and Luhansk regions (the territories, controlled by the Ukrainian government).
The weighted data for the population of Ukraine (1980 respondents) correspond to the population distribution by age/sex/type of a settlement and macroregion according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine as of January 1, 2017; when weighing, the distribution of Donetsk and Luhansk regions population by age/sex/type of a settlement is additionally taken into account.
The maximum error is: for Ukraine - no more than 2.5%, for Donetsk and Luhansk regions - no more than 4.9%. The survey was conducted in all regions of Ukraine with the exception of the uncontrolled part of Donetsk and Luhansk regions and the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.
The materials present the weighted data and the total volume of the weighted sample as 1500 respondents.
The first round of the survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine on behalf of the Kalmius Group, a survey method - telephone interviews with mobile phone calls and random phone number generation, the survey period - from April 14 to May 2, 2018. The sample comprised 1975 respondents, 536 of them are from Donetsk and Luhansk regions (the territories, controlled by the Ukrainian government).
The second round of the survey was conducted by GfK Ukraine, with the use of the same survey method, from May 3 to May 19 , 2018. The sample comprised 1980 respondents, 528 of them are from Donetsk and Luhansk regions (the territories, controlled by the Ukrainian government).
The weighted data for the population of Ukraine (1980 respondents) correspond to the population distribution by age/sex/type of a settlement and macroregion according to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine as of January 1, 2017; when weighing, the distribution of Donetsk and Luhansk regions population by age/sex/type of a settlement is additionally taken into account.
The maximum error is: for Ukraine - no more than 2.5%, for Donetsk and Luhansk regions - no more than 4.9%. The survey was conducted in all regions of Ukraine with the exception of the uncontrolled part of Donetsk and Luhansk regions and the Autonomous Republic of Crimea.
The materials present the weighted data and the total volume of the weighted sample as 1500 respondents.
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